Before I get off on a tangent about drought, the holiday weekend forecast, or space news, I have to get to the promised update of the AGW list. As regular users know, the “Big List of Bad Things” is an attempt to keep track of all the dire predictions made by AGW theorists. I started it back in late 2007 because the predictions kept getting more sensational. I thought it would be a good exercise in keeping track of changing attitudes through the years. I stopped doing regular updates earlier this year when the predictions reached the level of the “death of nearly all life on earth”. Why do anymore updates when this predictions cover pretty much every bad thing that could happen. Still, I did notice some interesting predictions in the last couple of months and I will update them now. Again, this is a list of all the bad things predicted to occur (or have occurred) because of AGW:
- Sand dunes will get bigger
- The Mediteranean sea will rise 2 feet
- The Amazon rain forest will be more susceptible to fires
- Sea level rise will be worse in New York city than other coastal areas
- The Gulf Stream will shut down
- Ice-dependant species in Antarctica will disappear
- Tropical lizards will die
- Coral reefs will dissolve (already on the list)
- Wildfire hotspots will shift to new areas of the earth.
- Pets will suffer
- Ozone recovery will be uneven
- Pinon Pine trees will die
- Woody weeds will expand in Australia
- River water levels will go down
- Lyme disease could get worse
- Seals will suffer because of increased mercury levels
- Cicadas are coming out early
- The Maldives will flood
- Every aspect of human health will get worse
- Coral death will displace 100 million people
Whew! So here is the entire list with the new additions. (A strikethrough is something that was once blamed on AGW but was later found to be caused by something else)
(bigger sand dunes, Mediterranean sea to rise 2 feet, the Amazon rain forest will be more susceptible to fires, sea level rise to be worse in New York City, the Maldives will flood, woody weeds will expand in Australia, 100 million people will be displaced because of problems with coral, the Gulf Stream could shut down, major rivers will lose more water, every aspect of human health will get worse, pinon pines trees will die, seals will be contaminated with mercury, ice-dependent life will disappear from the Antarctic peninsula, Ozone recovery will be uneven, wildfire hotspots will shift around the world, cicadas are coming out earlier, tropical lizards will die, pets will suffer, Lyme disease could get worse,the earth’s magnetic poles will shift, Bluetongue virus spreading and moving out of the tropics, the 2007-09 California drought, agriculture will cease in the state of California, Northern and southern Europe will get hotter, all earth’s seasons are arriving 2 days earlier, cocoa production could decline, too many males in some fish and reptile species, Reindeer could become endangered, bigger waves along the Oregon coast, crabgrass will take over your lawn, migratory fish populations will decline, jumbo squid will move slower and starve, ski areas will go out of business, an increase in tick-borne disease epidemics, soil will become less fertile, global forests (including cool weather trees) will be devastated, tiger attacks on humans will increase, tropical and mountain animal species will go extinct, a dirty dozen of diseases will spread, less bright Fall foliage, the weather will be harder to predict, large animal species could go extinct, power blackouts, more flooded subways, Mountain snowmelt will occur up to 2 months earlier, more bee colony collapse disorder and other multiple infectious disease outbreaks, 1 in 8 bird species could go extinct – including long distance migratory song birds, eucalyptus leaves will become less nutritious and Koala bears will die, the 2008 tropical storm disaster in Myanmar, Tropical bugs will not reproduce, toxic chemicals will pour out of glaciers, more deadly algae blooms, more poverty, a massive increase in volcanic activity, new disease outbreaks from previously frozen corpses, irreversible water circulation alteration in Lake Tahoe, dramatically decreased rice production, fewer flowers in the Rocky Mountains, transportation systems will be ruined, air pollution related deaths will increase, tropical fish could go deaf, more “ocean deserts”, more tundra wildfires, collapsing oceanic food webs, sharks devastating Antarctic sea life as well as general devastation of Antarctic sea life due to other predators and disruptions, the drying up of Lake Mead by 2021, plant-devouring insect invasions, poor food quality, increased human mortality, more solastalgia/mental illness, more wars, the past 1993 conflict in Somalia, more intense heat waves, more heat deaths, more hurricanes, less hurricanes, more intense and bigger hurricanes, a longer hurricane season, more stormy and severe weather – especially near the poles, rising oceans, more acidic oceans, California wildfires, more droughts, more floods, future disastrous declines in food production, coral reefs (hard and soft) bleaching, dissolving and dying, enormous extinctions of plant and animal species (including – Kangaroos, Caribou, Polar bears, Narwhals, Butterfly fish, Lemmings, Isle Royale Moose, Walruses, Penguins, King Penguins, Adélie Land King Penguins, Australian Bats), massive loss of fish in the Bering Sea, the earth literally being torn apart, Amazon deforestation, a bigger ozone hole, a smaller ozone hole, a slower recovery of ozone, less fresh water, more obesity, more hunger, more asthma, more allergies, more infectious disease, more kidney stones…more to come)
Again, the purpose of the list is to gather all the predictions in one place. Sometimes looking at something in total and getting a historical perspective can provide some new insights. Some of the predictions might contradict other predictions. If a group of predictions are coming true then we need adjust our conservation efforts and perhaps focus our energy in different ways. I thought I might be the only one keeping track of media headlines, but I was alerted to another website that does keep track of AGW headlines and “numbers”. I can’t vouch for the quality of the site, but just a quick browse gives me the impression that the authors are very skeptical of AGW. So keep that in mind. It is Numberwatch.
And now I realize another reason why I don’t continue the AGW list on a regular basis – it takes too long to update. I have a lot of comments on some of the new items, but not much time. I barely have time to talk about the US Drought Monitor Update. Things have gotten a little better in Wisconsin. The bad news is that the forecast for the next week or two is not very good for rainfall. There is a chance of light showers late tonight and perhaps a bit heavier rain on Tuesday of next week, otherwise things are pretty dry. The fire danger is still high. Be very careful grilling out or with starting campfires this weekend!
Have a good Friday! Meteorologist Justin Loew.
Posted under AGW, Drought
This post was written by jloew on May 22, 2009