Private Property

People who know me and read the blog know that I am partial to individual freedom and not so much toward government intervention. This is a lonely position to take in today’s world, and it seems more lonely every day as I follow the anthropogenic global warming (AGW) and alternative energy themes out there in the wilds of the internet. Big government solutions to all our problems are certainly on the table. It is not that such programs cannot help solve some problems, just that the track record is fairly poor IMO.

I have blogged about the grain ethanol story a couple of times. It is not that it was not worth a try – making ethanol out of food crops – just that it did not need to become a big government behemoth program that is still draining billions from the federal budget despite being roundly criticized from many corners. I have nothing against the grain ethanol producers. I am personally acquainted with many people in the industry. They are fine people, have good intentions, and work hard, but the numbers do not add up for grain ethanol as an alternative to oil. Even under the best conditions the EROI is not much over 1. You would think we could do better (maybe by using waste products for bio-fuel production). Here is another article describing some of the drawbacks to grain ethanol. Don’t mention this to politicians who are handing out the billions of dollars, they aren’t listening too well.

Another big government project under consideration is solar in the Sahara. Here is an article about Desertec, a European effort to build large solar power plantsin northern Africa and then ship the electricity to Europe. The goal – clean energy – is laudable, but the drawbacks are numerous. Solar power plants need a lot of water to operate and this is a no-brainer: THERE ISN”T MUCH WATER IN THE SAHARA DESERT. Also, the goal of reducing the dependence on “foreign oil” produced by unstable or unfriendly countries by replacing it with solar energy produced in unstable or unfriendly countries doesn’t seem to get us (or Europe in this case) too far ahead. Large solar power plants might be more juicy targets for terrorists or rogue government take-overs. Alternatively, Europeans could continue installing roof-top solar panels as is already occurring and cut out most of the future worries. The only problem from a big government perspective is that Individuals freely installing alternative energy solutions on their property requires fewer bureaucrats and regulation (pardon me while I don’t shed a tear). Although government subsidies are certainly a part of small scale installation of alternative energy, there are many instances of companies rolling out their own strategies and solutions, like the Sunpods that are being deployed at select locations in the U.S. Perhaps smaller grants from governments with less restriction would work better to seed new energy technologies and this is being tried through ARPA-e in the U.S.

Even normally staunch supporters of big government solutions and regulations are coming to the conclusion that some things are best left in the hands of local people. It is no mystery why private property protections/laws produce and preserve wealth even when it comes to forest management. People take care of things they own, while they tend to exploit things that they do not. The tragedy of the commons is still alive and well in 2009. Here is an article promoting local (somewhat more privatized) control over sections of the Amazon rain forest in order to protect it.

Have a fine Monday! Meteorologist Justin Loew

Posted under AGW, Alternative Energy, Climate Change, Environment

This post was written by jloew on October 26, 2009

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The Storm of 1887

It is a few weeks early but we saw snow totals across the area yesterday, especially in the Northwoods.   Click here for all the snow totals.  The highest report was 4 inches in Winchester and in Phillips.  Most areas up north received around2 inches with lower totals across the central counties.  The good news is we will only be seeing rain over the next few days but more snow is in that forecast. What an odd October we have had! 

While browsing around  I saw an article about a storm back in 1887.  It occurred on Oct 22nd through the 24th.  This storm produced massive snow totals across our area.  Some of the totals I saw were 12 inches in Merrill, 10 inches in Black River Falls and 9.9 inches in Green Bay.   

After the intense low pressure a high pressure moved in bringing chilly arctic air with lows dropping to the teens! At least we haven’t seen that cold of temperatures yet.  All I can think about is when we didn’t hit freezing all January this year until the last day of the month!

We finally saw some sunshine today but rain is already moving back in tonight.   We are in a continuous active pattern with no high pressure taking over our pattern and time soon.  Plenty more rain chances this week!

Meteorologist Kristen Connolly

Posted under Weather History, Winter Weather

This post was written by kconnolly on October 24, 2009

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Some World Stories- Snowball Fight to a Major Drought

Winter Weather Advisory in effect from 4pm to 1am for Ashland, Iron, Vilas, Price and Oneida counties. 2-4 inches will be possible.

This morning I am kind of a zombie since I haven’t done the morning show in almost a month and half! While I was putting my graphics together I noticed the last time I did the show it was 80 and sunny! Oh what a September we had, and now rain has been the word we have said more times in a month then I think all year.  I will be heading down to Stevens Point to work on a few stories for my “Have you ever Wondered” series so my blog won’t be long this morning.

Some stories I am working on: Why leaves change color? and Why ducks migrate? Those two will be coming up in the next two weeks.

Wanted to share a few stories:

We did this story on Wake Up, it is about Ethiopia.  They are in desperate need emergency food because of a major drought.  This is because 80% of their population live off of the land. 

And in Paris, France some folks had a snowball fight on the Seine river.  Around 70 people participated in the event that occurred in the rain.  The snowball fight is one resorts way to mark the beginning of ski season.   Check out the video here.   

Have a fantastic Friday even if it is a bit wet!

Meteorologist Kristen Connolly

Posted under Drought, Travel, Winter Weather

This post was written by kconnolly on October 23, 2009

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Movies On The Weather Channel

Yeah that’s right, The Weather Channel will now start airing movies to fill up 2 hour blocks of primetime.  My only question…Will we still get the local on the 8′s during the commercial breaks? 

In my opinion, The Weather Channel is getting away from what they do best…. sensationalizing current weather events for the weather fanatics across the country.  People don’t turn to the weather channel for movies…they turn to the weather channel for the current weather not only close to home but around the world.  People want to see what hurricane is hitting where…they want to see how many inches of snow upstate New York is going to get with the strongest Nor’Easter since who knows when.  They don’t want to see movies…come on.  Save the movies for the movie channels.  I’m not a studio exec or whatever, so I probably don’t know what I’m talking about.  I’m sure it’s going to end up being good business.  I also miss Dave Schwartz..ha..he was the best.

The movies will air on Friday nights and “A Perfect Storm” will kick things off.

Meteorologist Brian Niznansky

Posted under Uncategorized

This post was written by bniznansky on October 22, 2009

Developing Weather Show

Hey everyone. First off I wanted to let everyone know that I am recording a longer segment of weather for the waow.com website. Typically on the morning show the weather segments are around 2 minutes and 30 seconds, which is enough time to effectively cover the forecast for the next few days but doesn’t allow for many extra insights or comments. You can go to the weather page tp://www.waow.com/Global/category.asp?C=123742&nav=menu1360_3 and watch the longer “weather show” in the video player on the upper right hand side of the page. Let me know what you think. Leave a comment. If it is popular, then Brian and Kristen might do this type of longer weather segment for the WAOW webchannel in the evening as well. 

It is the time of the week for the US Drought Monitor update.

No changes in WI

No changes in WI

As expected, there is no change in the drought situation in Wisconsin this week, because the recent rains have not been fullly incorporated into the drought calculation. Next week I guarantee we will see an improvement across all categories of the drought in Wisconsin, not only because past rains will be in the calculation but because we are expecting even more significant rain tomorrow and during the middle of next week.

Improvement in Cali.

Improvement in Cali.

The most dramatic improvement in any drought-stricken areas of the U.S. during the last week came in California. A large storm dumped a couple inches of rain in the valleys and up to 4 feet of snow in the Sierra Nevada mountains, and thus pockets of the drought have been ameliorated.

Speaking of rain, or lack there-of, yesterday in Wausau we ended up with 1.16 inches of rain. This marks the second time this month (and maybe not the last) that we have received over an inch of rain in one day. This is quite a change from the past 4 months. Can anyone guess how many days from June through September we had over an inch of rain in one day? Believe it or not, it was only ONE DAY!On August 14th, Wausau received a record rainfall of 1.84 inches and that was the only day with over an inch of rain during that 4 month stretch. No wonder we are suffering through a drought (for the 7th straight year).

Have a fine Thursday! Meteorologist Justin Loew

Posted under Drought

This post was written by jloew on October 22, 2009

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Significant Snow????

The rain will continue tonight and possible mix with some snow in the Northwoods.  Up to an inch of snow accumulation will be possible north of Highway 8.  We will then catch a break tomorrow and our attention will fully shift to the next round of rain and possibly heavy snow on Friday Evening.

On Friday, the southern branch of this storm system will work into the Great Lakes region.  The arrival of some cold air from the northwest remains the biggest question.  If colder air pushes in early enough then we could have some significant snow accumulations in the northwoods with a slushy accumulation in Central Wisconsin.  Right now I feel like the stars have to align to get a major snowstorm, but the potential is out there.  I think a slushy couple inches in the Northwoods seems to be the better bet at this time.  We will of course continue to monitor this.

Here is a special weather statement issued by the N.W.S. Green Bay office…

Special Weather Statement

The rain and snow will then come to an end late Friday night into Saturday morning….

Meteorologist Brian Niznansky

Posted under Winter Weather

This post was written by bniznansky on October 21, 2009

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Bird Picture Gallery

Looks like more rain on the way for today, especially during the afternoon and early evening. Another round of rain will develop on Friday. Between the two storms, there could be an inch or two of rain. As far as temps go, no Indian Summer weather at least through the middle of next week. High temps will be in the 40s on most days.

A lot of interesting news today but I am headed out to an area elementary school for a presentation so the news will have to wait until tomorrow.

So how about a nice gallery of bird photos? Check it out here. I know many of you out there like to watch and photograph birds. Within the gallery of pics are tips for taking good shots.

Have a nice Wednesday! Meteorologist Justin Loew

Posted under Viewer pictures

This post was written by jloew on October 21, 2009

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Orionid Meteor Shower- We Are Missing Out!

It’s going to be a nice show tomorrow morning as the Earth passes through the debris of the Halley’s Comet, unfortunately we won’t be able to see it!

The Orionid meteor shower peaks this time of year as we pass through the ancient comets debris trail.  This leaves a show of a dozen meteors an hour. It will be best right before dawn on the 21st but with the cloudy skies we are going to have to miss out this year. 

The Orionid appear every year around this time as we make our way through the part of the space littered with the debris.  The past few years have had fantastic shows with more comets then usual, some say up to 60 an hour. 

For more info check out this article on NASA’s website.

Posted under Uncategorized

This post was written by kconnolly on October 20, 2009

CPC Outlooks

Well well, the record for the coldest October takes another turn. After talking to the National Weather Service in Green Bay – which has more extensive records going back to the late 1800s – it doesn’t look like there is much chance of breaking the record this year. This year might make the top 5 coldest but no where near the top spot. The record coldest October in Wausau turns out to be 1917 when the mean temperature was only 36.3! This year we are at about 41, and it looks like temps for the next 10 days will only be about 5 degrees below normal, not enough to get us closer to the record.

A note about yesterday: It was the warmest day of October thus far and will probably end up being the warmest day of the month with a high of 64, however, it was not warm enough to fit our criteria for “Indian Summer”. Our definition is 10 degrees or more above normal. Yesterday was only about 7 degrees above normal.

When contemplating longer term above or below normal temperatures we usually turn to the CPC computer model update this time of month.

CPC November Trend

CPC November Trend

First is an image of the November forecast. Contrary to our current trend of near record cold, the computer models are forecasting an equal chance of above normal or below normal temps for November. Looking at the trend in the jet stream for the next week or so, I would expect at least the beginning of November to be cooler than normal. The mid to late November trend? I couldn’t say for sure.

CPC Dec-Jan-Feb Trend

CPC Dec-Jan-Feb Trend

Looking further into the future, the second image is for the December-January-February period shows a greater chance of above normal temps than below normal temps. This has changed a little from the last 2 monthly updates. Previously, the chance of above normal temps was a bit higher, now the models have backed off. Is it because El Nino has not strengthened yet? Maybe. If El Nino weakens, then it is less likely that we will have a mild winter with little snowfall.

Have a nice Tuesday! Meteorologist Justin Loew.

Posted under CPC Outlook, Records

This post was written by jloew on October 20, 2009

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Saw-whet Owls, and a Warm Day!

Last week I had the oppurtunity to check out the Linwood Springs Research Station.  I went there to speak with Gene Jacobs who is a director and Raptor Researcher for the past 38 years.  20 years ago he wanted to discover more about one kind the Saw-whet owl.  I have to saw I am now in love with this little owl.  It was one of the cutest things I have ever seen and was only as big as my hand.  During my time there I learned about some of his history, why he choose that species, and how he is now teaching others.  For more information you can check out my page at www.waow.com/wonder.

Today was beautiful! We saw highs in the mid 60′s! The last time we saw this warm of temps was on the 27th of Sept when we hit 70.  For those of your who enjoy the warm and sunny conditions…well it is not going to last.  Hope you had an oppurtunity to enjoy it today!

Have a great night! Meteorologist Kristen Connolly

Posted under Travel, Uncategorized, Viewer pictures

This post was written by kconnolly on October 19, 2009

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