The latest long range monthly outlooks have been released by the Climate Prediction Center (CPC) and if you are hoping for an early Spring you might be in luck. I say might because looking ahead months in advance is still a very in-exact science. The March outlook for Wisconsin indicates a significant chance of above normal temperatures across Wisconsin and most of the Great Lakes region. As a bonus, there is also a greater than normal chance of above normal precipitation. I am always happy if we head into the growing season with some added moisture. It helps everything turn green and start growing vigorously right away.
Now just remember, as you are reading this and thinking about a potential mild March, don’t forget that the rest of the month of February is looking rather Winter-like. We have to get through the next couple of weeks before we will see whether or not the CPC forecast is correct. Also remember that above normal precipitation in March could mean either rain or snow. If we end up with a couple of big storms dumping several inches of snow, it might not seem like an early Spring, even if the majority of the days in March are above normal.
As far as the longer term goes, the three month average of March-April-May is also predicted to have a chance of above normal temperatures in our part of the country. Otherwise, all other periods in the forecast indicate EQ or “equal chances” of above or below normal temps and precipitation. So basically, after a possibly mild March, the computer models can’t discern any major trends through the Summer.
Now an update on the current Wintry pattern referenced above. Light snow will continue off-and-on for the rest of today and might accumulate an inch or so. On Thursday another storm moving through the upper Midwest has the potential to produce 2 or 3 inches of snow but current charts indicate it might track through southern Wisconsin and not bring a whole lot of snow to Marathon county and further north. The third storm of the week will be developing later Sunday into Monday morning and has the potential to create several inches of snow. It is still too early to say where in the state the heaviest snow will fall.
Have a good Tuesday! Meteorologist Justin Loew.
This post was written by jloew on February 21, 2012