Snowmelt 2013 Begins!

New_Justin_TwitterIf you are thinking  – it is getting to be that time of year for the snowmelt contest – you are right! The R-stores of Northcentral Wisconsin are sponsoring the contest once again this year and ready to shower the best snowmelt forecasters with multiple valuable gift cards and car wash coupons. I have already heard a lot of people joking that the correct snowmelt forecast this year is NEVER! Less sarcastic folks have been speculating maybe it will not melt until July, which would be a record late snowmelt. The fun part of this contest is that it is challenging and this year could be more so. Just because it has been cool in April, does not mean that will continue during the month of May. A big heat wave and substantial rain could melt the snow pretty quick. It the weather does stay cooler than normal, then maybe it will be late June before the last bit of snow melts. Also to consider is how big of snow jumps the ski hill made during the winter. Those big piles can take a while to melt. If the jumps were smaller this year, then maybe it will not take as long to melt. All this being said, here are the dates that the snow has finally melted over the past 8 years (the winning dates):

  • 2005:June 7th
  • 2006:June 6th
  • 2007:May 25th
  • 2008:June 8th
  • 2009:June 24th
  • 2010:May 29th
  • 2011:June 17th
  • 2012:May 30th

As you can see the dates vary quite a bit. Even though last year was very warm, and I was even worried the snow might melt before we were done with the entry period (end of April), the snow lasted until the end of May. Can you out-forecast Edna Scheel who took home the $250 gift card in 2011? Or Tracy Steiner who took home the big prize in 2012? Get your thinking cap on. The entry deadline is April 30th, so you have two weeks to think about it. Or if you have a good feeling right now….

ENTER HERE

See official rules here. The top prize is a $250 gift card from the R-stores of Northcentral Wisconsin. Who couldn’t use a cool $250 to spend at the R-store!!?

Good luck everyone.

Meteorologist Justin Loew

Posted under Snowmelt 2013

This post was written by jloew on April 16, 2013

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Top 5 Snowmelt Contest Winners for 2012

The day has finally arrived for drawing and revealing the top 5 prize-winners for the Snowmelt Contest in 2012. As you read late last week, we ended up with 43 people who predicted the correct date this year – which was May 30th. It was an earlier than average melt date, but it was not the earliest ever. That was in 2007 when the snow melted on May 25th. May 30th (this year) was much later than I expected and that most people predicted – so winners, pat yourself on the back. You can see the list of winners in this past blog post.

This morning on Wake-Up Wisconsin we held the random drawing to decide who would take home the big R-store gift cards. Here are the results:

  • 1st Place: $250 R-Store Gift Card – Tracy Steiner
  • 2nd Place: $150 R-Store Gift Card – Brittnay Adamski
  • 3rd Place: $100 R-Store Gift Card – Brenda Swan
  • 4th Place: $50 R-Store Gift Card – Donna Schrameyer
  • 5th Place: $25 R-Store Gift Card – Adele Treml

Everyone else (38 remaining winners) wins a R-Store car wash coupon. All the prizes will be mailed out this week, so keep your eye out for some mail from WAOW-TV. A big thanks to the R-Store for providing the wonderful prizes. Also, thanks to everyone who participated in this year’s contest. I didn’t get an exact count of the entries but it was around a couple thousand which makes it one of the biggest years ever for the Snowmelt Contest. I hope everyone had fun!

Have a nice Monday! Meteorologist Justin Loew.

Posted under Snowmelt 2012

This post was written by jloew on June 4, 2012

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Snowmelt Winners 2012!

The date has finally arrived! Late in the evening yesterday I hiked up Rib Mountain one last time. In the near dark I found a damp patch of grass and dirt that used to be the remaining snow (see here for a picture from yesterday morning). That means the 2012 snowmelt contest is now over! May 30th is the winning date. It turns out we had 43 people predict the correct date. Listed below are the fabulous forecasters, the cream of the crop, the top snowmelt sleuths this year:

  • Brittnay Adamski
  • Jerry Kitzrow
  • Norbert Mroczenski
  • Cheryl Steffen
  • Randy Pfantz
  • Adele Treml
  • Terrie Kozey
  • Dennis Kwasny
  • Marilyn LaPointe
  • Gary Zolp
  • Sharyn Thompson
  • Lori Thomas
  • Scott Gress
  • Tim Jari
  • Carissa Hasenfang
  • Nancy Grochmal
  • Mary Skrzeczkoski
  • Brenda Swan
  • Sue Janz
  • Jason Moss
  • Duwayne Revie
  • Eileen Wadzinski
  • Denise Brillowski
  • Ronald Ament
  • Sally Sommers
  • Carla Kniech
  • Sandy Stroyny
  • Sue Lehmann
  • Carissa Solimene
  • Shannon Rosenow
  • Mary Jo Fochs
  • Sue Priebe
  • Donna Schrameyer
  • Sue Schultz
  • Tracy Steiner
  • Mary Marquardt
  • Kristin Woller
  • Candie Smetak
  • Kris Carson
  •  Heather (text entry)

There are three other text entries on the list that we have not heard back from yet. If we don’t hear back from them on before Monday then we will enter the last 4 digits of their phone number into the big drawing.

The drawing for the top 5 prizes will be held on Monday June 4th on Wake-Up Wisconsin. The names will be drawn at 5:40 am and at that point we will reveal the 4th and 5th place winner. At approximately 6:40am we will reveal the top 3 prize winners. Everyone whose name is not drawn in the top 5 will win a consolation prize of a free car wash coupon from the R-stores of Northcentral Wisconsin. A big THANK YOU to the R-stores for providing the big prizes this year. Just a reminder, these are the gift card values for the top randomly drawn winners:

  • 1st prize: $250 R-store gift card
  • 2nd prize: $150 R-store gift card
  • 3rd prize $100 R-store gift card
  • 4th prize: $50 R-store gift card
  • 5th prize: $25 R-store gift card

Someone listed above is going to take home a $250 gift card next week. Exciting!

Damp Ground Where There Used to be Snow

And I finally here is the picture of the final demise of the snow in 2012. For those of you who entered May 31st, I want to let you know I checked the spot over very well to see if there were any small pieces of ice or snow left hiding on that patch of ground, but there was none. As such, the winning date for this year’s contest is May 30th, much later than what I forecast, which was May 15th.

One other special note: Tune in to the Big Cheese Morning show on Monday to hear Trav do the morning weather segment while breathing helium. We had a little side bet about the snowmelt date and I was closer. For losing this little side bet he is going to breathe in a little helium before talking with me about the weather on the radio. You can hear this at approximately 7:49 am on the radio dial at 107.9 FM. It should be funny.

Have a good Thursday! Meteorologist Justin Loew.

 

Posted under Snowmelt 2012

May 30th Snowmelt Update

I apologize to regular blog readers for not posting more intriguing commentary about recent weather and science events, but computer upgrades, various presentations, special events, and the snowmelt contest have taken up all of my time. Hopefully I will be able to get on a more regular routine of posting in the near future.

Speaking of the snowmelt contest, it is getting very close to the end and for those of you who predicted today May 30th or tomorrow May 31st, you can thank the cool weather for your shot at winning the R-store gift cards. If the sun had been out all day yesterday and the temperature had topped 70 degrees, then I am certain the snow would have melted on the 29th. Instead, it hung on through the night and the tiny bit that remains is melting quite slowly today. Right now it is just a little disc of ice about 3 feet in diameter. I will be checking it again this evening, so stay tuned. Whether the final melt is today or tomorrow, we will draw for the winners on Wake-up Wisconsin early next week, most likely on Monday.

May 30th SnowMay 30th Snow

Have a nice Wednesday! Meteorologist Justin Loew.

Posted under Snowmelt 2012

This post was written by jloew on May 30, 2012

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May 29th Snowmelt 2012 Update

I took another trip up to the mountain this morning and the snow pile was about one third the size it was yesterday but I cannot guarantee it will melt today. I have included the latest pictures in this blog post. It will be so close to finally melting today that I will have to take another trip out there this evening and monitor the situation. There might be just enough sunshine to melt it today. Stay tuned!

Have a nice Tuesday! Meteorologist Justin Loew.

Posted under Snowmelt 2012

This post was written by jloew on May 29, 2012

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Getting Close to the Final Melt

As expected, the 80 degree weather really put a dent in the remaining snow on Rib Mountain. Another 80s degree day today should just about finish it off. I suspect we will have the final snow melt off of Rib Mountain either Tuesday or Wednesday. I am amazed that it has lasted this long, but the snow piles Granite Peak makes during the winter are very deep and they take a long time to melt. If the temperatures had not been so warm for much of this Spring, the snow might have lasted until the middle of June. In any case, good luck to everyone who picked dates for this week. You have a good shot at winning. Here are a few pictures from earlier today (Monday). I will be posting daily updates for the rest of this week. If the snow melts on Tuesday or Wednesday, we will likely hold the drawing for the top five prizes on Thursday on Wake-up Wisconsin.

Have a pleasant Memorial Day, Meteorologist Justin Loew.

Posted under Snowmelt 2012

This post was written by jloew on May 28, 2012

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Dust Bowl Memories

A few years ago, when I saw the trees being cut down along highway 51 (I-39) south of Stevens Point, I got a sense of foreboding. That familiar sight for travelers, those rows of trees that lined the highway, were planted back in the dust bowl days or shortly thereafter in order to prevent soil erosion and dust storms (according to some local folks). When I saw the trees being cut down I thought about how human memories are short. Severe multi-year droughts do happen. There is nothing special about the present day that grants us immunity from dust storms and that is just what we had yesterday. Due to the dry weather over the last couple of weeks and Spring planting, there was a lot of dust and sand ready to be blown into the air. It was the worst dust storm I have seen in Wisconsin during my life, and I hear it was even worse in the Stevens Point area, around the central sands. The official visibility in Wausau dropped to 3 miles.

Dust Storm in Stevens Point May 25, picture provided by Phillip & Renee

In Stevens Point the visibility was officially as low as 2.5 miles (at the airport). Judging by pictures that some viewers sent in, it was much lower than that at times, probably less than 1 mile.

Now, I realize that the rows of trees south of Stevens Point would not have prevented the dust storm yesterday, but they would have helped at least a little bit. Also, due to more widespread irrigation, it would take a very significant drought to re-create the severity of the dust bowl days. However, I can’t help but dwell on how history repeats itself, if not exactly, then it at least rhymes. Prior to the dust bowl years (1930s), we had an economic crash. In 2008 we had another economic crash and are still mired in a recession. 2008 was about the time all of those trees were being taken out. A bad omen?

Which reminds me of another article I read recently about trees cooling streams. Although this would seem to be common sense, Australian researchers found that tree-lined streams remained much healthier than other streams (aside: Australia just emerged from their own decade-long dustbowl). In a potentially warmer world in the future we might want to make sure we don’t cut down too many trees around rivers and streams (as well as replanting them around some large farm fields). This might be particularly important for trouts streams in Wisconsin. Trout require cooler water than most fish.

Other than the high winds and dust storm, we did have some severe thunderstorms during the late afternoon and evening. High straight-line winds brought down a few trees and power lines and there was one report of a very brief tornado touchdown near Marathon City in Marathon county.

For those of you who entered the snowmelt contest, no doubt the hot weather yesterday took a bite out of the snow pile and the hot weather I expect on Sunday (maybe 90) could put a final nail in the remaining snow.  I will try to get some pictures to share so stay tuned to the weather blog late in the weekend and early next week.

Have a fine Friday! Meteorologist Justin Loew.

Posted under Drought, Ecology, Nature, Storms, Weather History

Maybe a hot Summer. Maybe not.

Temperatures have been well above normal for the last few months, since November 2011, and it looks like that trend will continue for the next few days, but it might not continue for the entire Summer. I say “might not” because the weather is of course known to be quite temperamental and highly changeable here in Northcentral Wisconsin, but also because the CPC outlook does not indicate a strong trend toward the warm weather continuing. If I had too stick my neck out, I would say the Summer months ARE going to average above normal. How far above, I am not sure. I suspect we will have a couple of heat waves where the high temperature stays in the 90s for 2 or 3 days in a row, but I don’t think it will be super-hot all Summer long like a few people have told me (just in casual conversation on the street).

Summer CPC Forecast

The CPC has the northern half of the country in the “Equal Chances” category once again for the month of June and for the 3 month (June-July-August) period. The higher chance of above normal temps is expected to be in the southern half of the country. Precipitation for us is all indicated as “Equal Chances”.

With the warm weather we have had as of late, you would think that the snow on Rib Mountain would be gone. That is not the case. I you entered the contest back in April and are anxiously waiting because you picked a date toward the end of May, you are in luck. The snow is melting pretty fast. I think it will be gone or very close, over the holiday weekend. Here are a couple of pictures taken today – May 23rd. Have a nice Wednesday! Meteorologist Justin Loew.

Posted under CPC Outlook, Snowmelt 2012

This post was written by jloew on May 23, 2012

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Warm Weekend But Snow Remains

It was warm over the weekend. We had a record high temperature of 88 in Wausau on Saturday. We beat the old record by 1 degree. Highs were in the 80s on Friday and Sunday as well, but it was not enough heat to melt all the snow out on Rib Mountain. When the snowmelt contest began, I felt quite certain that the snow would melt on a record early date this year. Now I am not so certain. It will most likely melt in May but it will probably not be the earliest melt we have ever observed. The heat did a number on the remaining snowpile, but it was not enough to get rid of it. I have included a picture taken yesterday – May 20th.

Snow Picture - May 20th

Besides the warm weather over the weekend, some thunderstorms developed on Sunday as we expected, but they were not very widespread. Most of the rain and heavy weather developed north of Marathon county. Trees and power lines were downed near Tripoli, Antigo, and Florence, as well as a few other spots. Hail up to 1 inch in diameter was reported in Conover and Sugar Camp in Vilas county.

For gardeners out there, you will probably need to plan a little watering because it doesn’t look like too much rain in the forecast this week. Another cold front will be moving through the area on Thursday and it will produce at least a 30% chance of thunderstorms. However, as things look now, any rain on Thursday will be hit-or-miss, not too widespread. If we don’t get rain on Thursday we might have to wait until Sunday or Monday (Memorial Day). I am not too concerned about drought development as of yet, but I know things are getting a little dry out there. The weather pattern is still pretty active so at least we will have opportunities for rain. It would be worse if we had a stagnant or blocked weather (or jet stream) pattern, which usually leads to several days up to a couple of weeks of no signs of precipitation.

Have a good Monday! Meteorologist Justin Loew.

Posted under Severe Weather, Snowmelt 2012, Storms

Another Snowmelt 2012 Update

May 16th Remaining SnowMay 16th Remaining Snow

Some new pictures from up on the “mountain”. I konw it doesn’t look like all that much has melted but is is probably half the size it was last week and melting quickly. Will it last through this weekend? It will be quite warm on Friday and Saturday. Good luck to everyone who entered.

Have a fine Wednesday! Meteorologist Justin Loew.

Posted under Snowmelt 2012

This post was written by jloew on May 16, 2012

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